Modelling the Optimal Control of Transmission Dynamics of Mycobacterium ulceran Infection

Kimaro, Magreth Anga and Massawe, Estomih S. and Makinde, Daniel Oluwole (2015) Modelling the Optimal Control of Transmission Dynamics of Mycobacterium ulceran Infection. Open Journal of Epidemiology, 05 (04). pp. 229-243. ISSN 2165-7459

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Abstract

This paper examines optimal control of transmission dynamics of Mycobacterium ulceran (MU) infection. A nonlinear mathematical model for the problem is proposed and analysed qualitatively using the stability theory of the differential equations, optimal control and computer simulation. The basic reproduction number of the reduced model system is obtained by using the next generation operator method. It is found that by using Ruth Hurwitz criteria, the disease free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable and using centre manifold theory, the model shows the transcritical (forward) bifurcation. Optimal control is applied to the model seeking to minimize the transmission dynamics of MU infection on human and water-bugs. Pontryagin’s maximum principle is used to characterize the optimal levels of the controls. The results of optimality are solved numerically using MATLAB software and the results show that optimal combination of two controls (environmental and health education for prevention) and (water and environmental purification) minimizes the MU infection in the population.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: STM Open Academic > Medical Science
Depositing User: Unnamed user with email admin@eprint.stmopenacademic.com
Date Deposited: 03 Jun 2023 09:24
Last Modified: 03 Jan 2024 06:58
URI: http://publish.sub7journal.com/id/eprint/507

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